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陰魂不散—《經濟學人》懶人包 No. 9348 (2023/05/27)

2023-0527-The-Economist-No9348-The-haunting

本周《經濟學人》的全球封面故事出現了一張非常熟悉的臉孔。爭奪明年美國總統選舉的共和黨提名人的初選正在進行中。而川普擁有相距甚大、甚至是不可逾越的領先優勢。

可是要統整反川普勢力的困難度卻高得令人生畏。任何關心美國、關心民主、關心保守主義或關心舉止得體的人都應該希望羅恩.德桑蒂斯或其他非川普的共和黨候選人能夠不畏艱險地把他拉下馬來。

不過令人難過的是,《經濟學人》預測川普出線的機會非常的高。

【經典美語】獨家課程

《經濟學人》即時精修班

全台灣獨一無二的英語進修課程

每周三,即時精修班利用《經濟學人》綜合五大洋七大洲,橫跨政治、經濟、社會、文化各面向的精彩報導與分析,引領讀者進入英語閱讀與寫作的高級殿堂。統合字彙、文法、句型、結構、邏輯、背景知識,提供學者全方位的英語學習體驗。

課程說明請點選下列按鈕,並歡迎預約試聽 (實體、雲端)。

  • 一周大事

    The world this week

  • 政治

    Politics

    Florida Governor Ron DeSantis speaks as he announces he is running for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination in this screen grab from a social media video posted May 24, 2023. Twitter @RonDeSantis/Handout via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. NO RESALES. NO ARCHIVES

    一周政治大事回顧。

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  • 商業

    Business

    FILE PHOTO: A person wearing a backpack looks at food goods in a shop as UK inflation heads towards 10% in London, Britain, June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Kevin Coombs/File Photo

    一周經濟大事摘要。

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  • 社論

    Leaders

  • 社論

    The sick factor

    如何修復英國的國家衛生系統?錢會有所幫助,但重點的徹底轉變更為重要。

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  • 社論

    America’s presidential race

    唐納德川普非常有可能成為共和黨下屆總統提名人,因此,他重新進入橢圓形辦公室的機會高得令人不舒服。

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  • 社論

    Carry on Kyriakos

    希臘總理的選舉結果令人震驚,但是競選連任的基里亞科斯.米佐塔基斯配得上他的意外勝利。

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  • 社論

    End of the peace dividend

    烏克蘭戰爭的教訓:如何在西方國家的國防預算中獲得更多收益。

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  • 社論

    Seize the day (and the board)

    現在比以前更需要積極的投資人,低利率、被動投資和 ESG 為主動出擊的股東提供了機會。

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  • 投書

    Letters

  • 投書

    Letters

    March 27, 2010, Port Au Prince, Haiti: Food provided by USAID is distributed by the Adventist Development and Relief Agency at Juvenat College Sacre-Coeur, a school in Carrefour. Rice, beans, corn and soy meal, salt and cooking oil were distributed to 2,129 families through tickets, given only to women.///Women wait in line as volunteers distribute food aid. Credit: Allison Shelley / Polaris / eyevine For further information please contact eyevine tel: +44 (0) 20 8709 8709 e-mail: info@eyevine.com www.eyevine.com

    關於國際援助、通貨膨脹、英國皇室、步行、細菌、Liz Truss 等寫給編輯的信件精選。

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  • 邀稿

    By Invitation

  • 邀稿

    Data protection

    約翰尼.萊恩說,不要被 Meta 公司對資料洩露的罰款所迷惑:歐洲的 GDPR 曾被視為典範,但在執行上卻很失敗。

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  • 邀稿

    Financial crime

    法務會計專家凱利.里士滿.波普談如何對待欺詐的流行,她指出,鼓勵更多的內部人士擔任吹哨人將是最有效的方法。

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  • 簡報

    Briefing

  • 簡報

    A bungled coup

    羅恩.德桑蒂斯擊敗唐納德.川普的機會不大,阻止前總統獲得共和黨提名的希望正在消退。

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  • 美國

    United States

  • 美國

    Tribulations and trials

    法治與人民的意願發生衝突的地方:唐納德.川普的審判和共和黨初選將如何交鋒?

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  • 美國

    Solidarity snips

    2JGCC91 London, UK. 9th July 2022. Protesters in Trafalgar Square. Hundreds of pro-choice protesters marched to the US Embassy following the Supreme Court's decision to overturn Roe v Wade and pave the way for abortions to be banned in much of the USA. Credit: Vuk Valcic/Alamy Live News

    在推翻墮胎合法化的羅伊法案結束後的三個月內,輸精管切除術增加了 29%。

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  • 美國

    The doom loop

    SAN FRANCISCO, CA - SEPTEMBER 6: A bicyclist is seen on California Street as the Bay Bridge behind during sunrise in San Francisco, United States on September 6, 2022. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

    舊金山市中心正處於一個轉捩點。該市面臨著幾項危機,但其中的財政問題尤其突出。

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  • 美國

    Drug pricing

    Insulin and other diabetes medications are among the most-needed by the pharmacyâs clients, most of whom live well below federal poverty levels. Because of high drug prices, plus steep out-of-pocket expenses, many people, especially those with chronic illnesses, skimp on doses to make them last longer or donât take them because they canât afford them. (Emily Curiel/Kansas City Star/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)

    各方正在推動美國的胰島素價格下降,但並非所有病人都能使用現有的計畫。

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  • 美國

    The too few and the less proud

    Police guard the entrance of a subway as people protest the death of Jordan Neely, a man whose death has been ruled a homicide by the city's medical examiner after being placed in a chokehold by a fellow passenger on a New York City subway train, in New York City, U.S., May 8, 2023. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

    喬治.佛洛德被謀殺後,美國的警務工作發生了變化。它需要進一步改變,並得到更好的資助。

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  • 美國

    Lexington

    比起川普,德桑蒂斯是一個更貨真價實的信仰者,儘管政治手段比不上川普。這位佛羅里達州長旨在將川普從川普主義中解放出來。

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  • 美洲

    The Americas

  • 美洲

    The race to succeed AMLO

    墨西哥明年可能選出首位女總統,克勞迪婭.謝因鮑姆會不會被安德列斯.曼努埃爾.洛佩斯.奧布拉多掩蓋?

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  • 美洲

    A power struggle

    2PX0A1A Sao Paulo, Brazil. 01st May, 2023. Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, President of Brazil, speaks during a Labor Day rally. Credit: Allison Sales/dpa/Alamy Live News

    盧拉希望清除巴西的 Jair Bolsonaro 的影響,但他面臨來自福音派、槍支所有者和大型科技公司的阻力。

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  • 亞洲

    Asia

  • 亞洲

    Surviving the dragon

    澳大利亞面對中國的貿易禁令,表現得更加強大,這個「幸運的國家」可能有獨特的能力來忍受中國的欺淩。

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  • 亞洲

    An interview with Bangladesh’s prime minister

    NEW DELHI, INDIA - SEPTEMBER 6: Prime Minister of Bangladesh Sheikh Hasina and Prime minister Narendra Modi address media persons after inspecting guard of honour during the ceremonial reception at Rashtrapati bhawan on September 6, 2022 in New Delhi, India. India and Bangladesh signed seven Memorandum of understanding (MoUs). Foreign secretary Vinay Kwatra said on Tuesday that Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Bangladeshi PM Sheikh Hasina has a discussion on a range of bilateral issues related to water, trade, economic ties etc. (Photo by Sonu Mehta/Hindustan Times via Getty Images)

    謝赫.哈西娜是亞洲的鐵娘子,她悲慘的過去現在威脅著孟加拉的未來。

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  • 亞洲

    Up and away

    日本的老齡化社會正在尋找創造性的方法來處理其死者,葬禮計畫的新熱潮正在顛覆日本人對自己死亡的思考和談論方式。

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  • 亞洲

    Banyan

    美國對太平洋島國的關注度很高:安東尼.布林肯是自道格拉斯.麥克亞瑟將軍以來訪問巴布亞紐幾內亞的最重要的美國官員。

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  • 中國

    China

  • 中國

    A toe-hold in Europe

    匈牙利對中國越來越重要,維克多.歐爾班和習近平因反美主義而結緣。

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  • 中國

    Surfin’ again

    HAIKOU, CHINA - MARCH 19: Audience enjoy a performance during Haikou Midi Festival, one of China's earliest and best-established rock festival brands, on March 19, 2023 in Haikou, Hainan Province of China. (Photo by Luo Yunfei/China News Service/VCG via Getty Images)

    中國小鎮的官員正在通過音樂節賺錢,而筋疲力盡的城市年輕人則對他們趨之若鶩。

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  • 中國

    Dog’s dinner

    New recruits of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) attend a send-off ceremony at a railway station in Ganzhou, Jiangxi province, China March 16, 2023. China Daily via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS PICTURE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY. CHINA OUT. NO COMMERCIAL OR EDITORIAL SALES IN CHINA.

    中國的取消文化是因為民族主義,而非源自於覺醒。一名脫口秀演員發現自己在不知情的情況下被捲入其中。

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  • 中國

    Chaguan

    共產黨為何懼怕同性戀權利?社會保守主義加上對外國滲透的偏執,促使人們進行鎮壓。

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  • 中東非洲

    Middle East & Africa

  • 中東非洲

    Downhill from rainbow nation

    商業領袖擔心南非有可能成為一個失敗的國家,首席執行官們已經意識到,管理國家不能交給非洲民族議會。

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  • 中東非洲

    My ratings are better than yours

    ACCRA, GHANA - FEBRUARY 15: Ken Ofori-Atta, Ghana's finance minister addresses pensioners, who are part of the Pensioner Bondholders Forum, as they picket at the Ministry of Finance on February 15, 2023 in Accra, Ghana. Members of the Pensioner Bondholders Forum returned to the Finance Ministry to picket for the 8th day to demand a total exemption of their investments from the Domestic Debt Exchange programme. The government has proposed a 15% coupon rate, but the retirees have stated that they will not accept any cuts on their investments as their lives depend on the proceeds from these investments. (Photo by Ernest Ankomah/Getty Images)

    非洲政府稱信用評級機構對其有偏見,他們聲稱,對債務可持續性的悲觀情緒是沒有必要的。

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  • 中東非洲

    Waiting for God’s choice

    Iranian schoolgirls in black chadors and schoolboys salute while performing a song in support of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Iran's militarism, at the Imam Khomeini grand mosque in downtown Tehran, during a ceremony marking national daughters day, May 19, 2023. (Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

    誰將成為伊朗的下一任領導人?沒有人知道誰可能會抓住權力的韁繩。

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  • 中東非洲

    A wishful wedding

    2JWTKTJ 17-08-2022 Jordan Crown Prince Hussein (or Al Hussein) bin Abdullah II engaged to Rajwa Khaled bin Musaed bin Saif bin Abdulaziz Al Saif in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia(Photo by Nieboer/PPE/Sipa USA)

    約旦能否與沙烏地阿拉伯相愛?王權聯盟通常並不持久。

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  • 歐洲

    Europe

  • 歐洲

    Electric cars

    電動汽車可能對歐盟實現其氣候目標至關重要,但前提是充電基礎設施的建設速度要加緊腳步。

    Read more

  • 歐洲

    Raid on Belgorod

    Mandatory Credit: Photo by SERGEY KOZLOV/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock (13931169l)Members of the 'Russian Volunteer Corps' and 'Freedom of Russia Legion' hold a meeting with the media not far from the Ukraine-Russia border in Kharkiv's area, northeastern Ukraine, 24 May 2023, amid the Russian invasion. According to the group of Russian fighters, who are aligned with Ukraine, during a meeting with the press on 24 May, they engaged in cross-border raids on the territory of the Belgorod region of Russia starting on 22 May 2023. Ukraine has denied Russia's allegation that it was behind the attacks on the Belgorod region and portrayed the incursions by the Russian volunteers as an uprising against the Kremlin and Putin's regime. Russian troops entered Ukraine on 24 February 2022 starting a conflict that has provoked destruction and a humanitarian crisis.Russian fighters aligned with Ukraine claim responsibility for cross-border attack in Russia's Belgorod region, Kharkiv - 24 May 2023

    襲擊俄羅斯別爾哥羅德地區的民兵是誰?他們與烏克蘭軍事情報部門有聯繫,在某些情況下,與極右翼有聯繫。

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  • 歐洲

    French unions

    Sophie Binet, general secretary of the CGT union, Laurent Berger, general secretary of the CFDT union, and Marylise Leon, deputy general secretary of the CFDT union, are present in the trade union square as thousands of demonstrators take part in the traditional May Day demonstration, which in this 2023 edition has the particularity of bringing together all the workers' unions to protest against the pension reform implemented by the French government. Paris on 1 May 2023. (Photo by Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

    在人們猜測一位離任的(男性)領導人可能會從政的時候,婦女接管了法國強大的工會。

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  • 歐洲

    Charlemagne

    歐洲已經擺脫了普京的天然氣禁運,現在它需要考慮如何應對中國的問題。

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  • 英國

    Britain

  • 英國

    Ward mentality

    為了生存,英國的 NHS 必須停止對醫院護理的固守,社區護理是通往更好健康的途徑。

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  • 英國

    Dear as chips

    Workers pass through an air shower cleaning zone at the Newport Wafer Fab, owned by Nexperia Holding BV, in Newport, UK, on Thursday, Aug. 18, 2022. The UK government is deliberating whether to block a Chinese company from remaining the new owner of Newport Wafer Fab, exposing the political dilemma between supporting a key industry and keeping Beijings influence in check. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    英國的半導體戰略顯示了該國所處的困境,但適度的做法可能是明智之舉。

    Read more

  • 英國

    Best supporting actor

    2GKG87X Cast and crew on Location film set at Holywell Bay Cornwall, set of House of Dragon exclusive

    好萊塢罷工,外國節目享受風頭:罷工意味著混亂—也許是機會。

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  • 英國

    Bittersweet

    Mandatory Credit: Photo by ANDY RAIN/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock (13878321h)A customer at a supermarket in London, Britain, 19 April 2023. The UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation figures have shown a slight dip but remain above ten percent, from 10.4 per cent in February to 10.1 per cent in March. Food inflation prices remain staggeringly high at nineteen percent.UK Inflation remains above ten percent, London, United Kingdom - 19 Apr 2023

    英國經濟增長可能超過預期,但通膨更膠著,這使得中央銀行面臨的選擇更加容易。

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  • 英國

    Bagehot

    英國選民希望有更多的移民,但希望減少移民人數。政府的移民政策是不連貫的,因為選民是不連貫的。

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  • 國際

    International

  • 國際

    Farewell, peace dividend

    全球軍備競賽的代價:「戰爭稅」對全球經濟意味著什麼?

    Read more

  • 商業

    Business

  • 商業

    A giant sucking sound

    碳清除能否成為一個上兆美元的生意?很有可能—而且早該如此。

    Read more

  • 商業

    Deutsche Bahn

    Idled passenger trains, operated by Deutsche Bahn AG, during a strike in Munich, at dusk in Germany, on Friday, April 21, 2023. German rail passengers face widespread disruptions during their morning commute on Friday after transport union EVG called for a nationwide warning strike, escalating a dispute with Deutsche Bahn AG over pay. Photographer: Michaela Rehle/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    歐洲最大的鐵路運營商已經脫離了軌道,讓德國鐵路公司重新走上正軌需要數年時間。

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  • 商業

    Muscle and memory

    A Samsung Electronics Co. 16GB Double-Data-Rate (DDR) 4 memory module, top, and other DDR modules arranged for a photograph in Seoul, South Korea, on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. The South Korean chipmaker will report preliminary results for the March quarter on Friday. Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    亞洲企業被拖入晶片大戰:中國禁止美光的決定使韓國的半導體製造商處於尷尬境地。

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  • 商業

    Reactivated

    2DAMEW3 Illumina sign logo on headquarters of an American biotechnology company - San Diego, California, USA - 2020

    為什麼積極的投資者會有一個忙碌的一年?如果你認為他們已經軟化了,最好再想想吧。

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  • 商業

    Zell-side analysis

    Sam Zell, chairman and founder of Equity Group Investments LLC, during an interview on an episode of Bloomberg Wealth with David Rubenstein in Chicago, Illinois, US, on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. Zell, the billionaire made famous by his real estate deals, said that central bank actions to flood the market with money in recent years are coming back to bite the economy. Photographer: Christopher Dilts/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    薩姆.澤爾接下來會投資哪些房產?美國最強大的地產大亨之一於 5 月 19 日去世,享年 81 歲。

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  • 商業

    Fine and dandy

    2KDYBNC A view of Facebook parent company Meta's headquarters in Dublin as company layoffs are expected to be announced today. Picture date: Wednesday November 9, 2022.

    Meta 公司被罰 12 億歐元,這是迄今為止對違反歐盟隱私規則的最大懲罰。

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  • 商業

    Bartleby

    為什麼企業靜修會如此奢侈?公司的夏令營創意變得多此一舉。

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  • 商業

    Schumpeter

    科技巨頭對人工智慧監管有興趣:這是對開源擴散的一種遏制方式。

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  • 財經

    Finance & economics

  • 財經

    The nightmare scenario

    如果美國不履行債務會怎樣?一個無法想像的可能性會變得非常可想而知。

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  • 財經

    Xi v Putin

    Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives for the welcome ceremony for the China-Central Asia summit in Xian, Shaanxi province on May 18, 2023. (Photo by FLORENCE LO / POOL / AFP) (Photo by FLORENCE LO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

    中國和俄羅斯爭奪中亞各國的青睞。

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  • 財經

    Quite a coup

    A Chinese flag in front of buildings in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Monday, Oct. 17, 2022. Chinese President Xi Jinping signaled no change in direction for two main risk factors dragging down Chinas economy -- strict Covid rules and housing market policies -- providing little lift to a worsening growth outlook. Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    中國的國有資本家慶祝他們的股票飆升:政府擁有的公司今年迎來了翻身的機會。

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  • 財經

    Buttonwood

    歡迎來到大額債務的壞時代:美國的信貸週期正處於一個危險點。

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  • 財經

    Love and conflict

    一個基於經濟原則的思想實驗:在一個超級人工智慧的世界裡,人類會做什麼?

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  • 財經

    Free exchange

    提高業績的興奮劑對經濟增長意味著什麼:美國的 Adderall 短缺是否會損害其生產力?

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  • 科技

    Science & technology

  • 科技

    Neuroscience and AI

    神經科學與人工智慧:人工大腦正在協助科學家研究真實的東西。沒有哪個模型是完美的,但這並不妨礙它們的作用。

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  • 科技

    Recycling old tyres

    DEXX3C Used tyres. Majorca, Balearic Islands, Spain.

    從你的車輪中獲取燃料:舊輪胎可以成為氣候友善型燃料。

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  • 科技

    Helicopter beetles

    2B01NER Burying Beetle (Necrophorus vespilloides, Nicrophorus vespilloides), larvae in kadaver, Germany

    養育孩子可能對孩子不利,至少,從遺傳學的角度來看。

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  • 科技

    Saving Venice

    Visitors stand on on a trestle bridges as they admire St. Mark's Basilica during an expected high water, in Venice, northern Italy, Saturday, Oct. 3, 2020. Controversial and long-delayed underwater barriers passed their first emergency with flying colors on Saturday, protecting the Italian lagoon city of Venice from a tide that peaked at 130 centimeters (51-inches), a level that would normally inundate about half of the city. (Claudio Furlan/LaPresse via AP)

    為什麼威尼斯人正在考慮提高他們的整個城市?耗資 55 億歐元的防洪堤只換來了暫時的緩和。

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  • 文化

    Culture

  • 文化

    The robotic school

    人工智慧製作的藝術正在形成自己的風格:人工智慧模型不僅反映出,而且放大了它們在被輸入的圖像中看到的東西。

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  • 文化

    Contemplative spy fiction

    BNM8HF A tourist walks in the Mosque and Cathedral of Cordoba, Andalusia, Spain, April 27, 2010.

    在哈威爾.馬里亞斯的最後一部小說中,一名特工面對了他的良知。《湯瑪斯.內文森》的主角被從退休狀態中拉出來執行艱難的最後任務。

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  • 文化

    Social psychology

    UNSPECIFIED - CIRCA 1930: Perfect bodies: a new construction to measure the human body, Photograph, Around 1930 (Photo by Imagno/Getty Images) [Perfekte K?rper: Neues Ger?t zur Messung des menschlichen K?rpers, Photographie, Um 1930]

    《完美陷阱》譴責其所謂的「隱藏的流行病」:作者湯瑪斯.庫蘭發現一些不尋常的完美主義禍害的罪魁禍首。

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  • 文化

    Great-power decline

    Unknown Artist, (19th century) Odoacre (Odovacar, 435-493), chief of the Herules, obliges the abdication of Romulus Augustule, in Latin Flavius Romulus Augustus (or Romulus Augustulus (in it). Romolo Augustolo), around 460 - 511), last Roman emperor of the west in 476. Chromolithography around 1890. Private Collection chromolithograph 19

    羅馬滅亡了。現代的西方是否會效仿?《帝國為什麼會衰落》做了一個有趣的歷史比較,即使不是一個完全令人信服的比較。

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  • 文化

    Johnson

    隨著它在全世界的傳播,誰擁有英語?或者,就這個問題而言,誰又擁有法語或葡萄牙語?

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  • 文化

    American drama

    JD11XT April 17, 1987 - U.S. - April 17, 1987 St. Paul playwright August Wilson: ''it's always pleasing when people see value in work and go as far as giving you a prize for it. May 28, 1987 January 1, 1988 August 18, 1988 January 1, 1990 February 12, 1991 Tom Sweeney, Minneapolis Star Tribune (Credit Image: © Tom Sweeney/Minneapolis Star Tribune via ZUMA Wire)

    奧古斯特.威爾遜過去和現在都是美國黑人生活的吟游詩人。諸如《籬笆》和《藍調天后》等戲劇繼續在舞臺和螢幕上找到新的粉絲。

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  • 圖說

    Graphic detail

  • 圖說

    The new normal

    我們的模型顯示,全球的死亡人數仍然比 covid 之前的預測高出 5%。將這一增長歸因於 covid 將使其成為第四大死亡原因。

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  • 訃告

    Obituary

  • 訃告

    L’enfant terrible

    馬丁.艾米斯是整整一代人聳人聽聞的記錄者。這位小說家、散文家和煽動家於 5 月 19 日去世,享年 73 歲。

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  • 閱讀

    The Economist reads

  • 閱讀

    Spies and scribes

    受到情報單位監控的著名作家:事實證明,特工人員通常並非文學作品的優秀讀者。

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Thursday, 19 September 2024